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A business analyst or coordinator role scores 7.6 out of 10 for AI exposure, where 10 is most at risk. General management with real accountability scores 4.9. Business is the most-taken degree in the country and it points squarely at the exposed end. The protected destinations are real, but the traditional route to them runs through exactly the jobs being automated.
The short answer for parents: a general business degree with no specialization, no placement and no analytical depth is one of the weaker bets in this index. The versions that work are specific: strong co-op programs, a specialization with structural protection, genuine quantitative depth, or an explicit route into operations or ownership.
Every career in this index is scored 1–10, where 10 is most exposed to AI. Same six factors, same weights, applied identically to a manager and a paramedic.
| Business & Management track | 2023 | 2025 | Now | 3-yr move | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| General management / P&L ownership | 4.2 | 4.5 | 4.9 | +0.7 | Moderate |
| Supply chain & operations | 4.3 | 4.6 | 5.0 | +0.7 | Moderate |
| HR / people | 4.7 | 5.0 | 5.3 | +0.6 | Moderate |
| Project management | 5.3 | 5.7 | 6.1 | +0.8 | Mod–High |
| Business analyst / coordinator | 6.2 | 7.0 | 7.6 | +1.4 | High |
2023 and 2025 figures are reconstructed using current methodology, not archived from past editions.
For scalethe median career in this edition scores around 5.5. Bedside nursing scores 2.8. A service electrician scores 2.5. Entry-level software development scores 8.1.
Note what is missing from this table: anything below 4.9. Business is the only field we score with no genuinely low-risk destination. Every other profession has a protected core; business has a protected ceiling.
It is already displacing a substantial share of the work, and unlike most professions there is little structural protection to slow it down.
The pattern in business is unusually clean: almost everything on the left is what an entry-level business graduate was hired to do.
How a business analyst rates against each. Ratings are 0–10 on each factor's own terms.
Business has no licensing protection, no physical requirement, and accountability that only arrives with seniority. What protection exists has to be earned rather than inherited from the profession.
So you can see what the analysis actually looks like.
How hard will it be to land that first job? — rated 7.5
This factor is the clearest illustration in the whole index of why we score entry separately from the job itself.
Compare two professions. Nursing rates 2.0 here — its on-ramp is legally mandated, since a student cannot qualify without supervised clinical hours, and no employer can decide otherwise. Business rates 7.5, and the difference is not about how useful the work is. It is that nothing protects it.
The classic business first rungs — analyst programs, coordinator roles, junior project management — are precisely the automatable layer. Firms that once hired three graduates to build the reports now hire one experienced person with tooling. Nothing in law or professional regulation prevents that, so nothing has.
And there is a second pressure our framework does not capture at all. Business is the most-taken degree in the country, which means entry-level roles face plain oversupply alongside automation. The Federal Reserve Bank of New York puts recent-graduate underemployment at 41.5% — against 12.8% for nursing, the lowest of any major it tracks. Two forces compressing the same rung, only one of which we measure. We flag this as a limitation rather than pretending the score covers it.
The consequence is specific and it is what makes business harder than its scores suggest. The destination jobs — management, P&L ownership, operations leadership — are genuinely protected at 4.9 to 5.0. But you historically reached them through the exposed roles. The ladder's top is intact. Its bottom is thinning. And nobody has yet built a replacement route.
Ranked by exposure, safest first:
It depends almost entirely on what version of it you take.
The weak version is a general business degree with no specialization, no placement, and no quantitative depth, pointed at an analyst job. On our scoring that is close to marketing in risk, and it is what a large share of business students are actually enrolled in.
The versions that hold up:
The question worth putting to any business program: what job title do your graduates hold at year one, and at year five? The gap between those two answers is the whole story, and most programs have never been asked.
This sampler tells you where business stands. The full profile tells you what to do about it.
Most families are weighing two or three careers seriously, and a few more they haven’t ruled out. Pick the ones you need.
Each includes a short version written directly to the student and the technical scoring appendix. Spring 2027 updates of whatever you buy are included.
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